Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Solihull
24.3%
Draw
22.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Solihull
vs
1.16
Sutton
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).