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12 Nov 2022 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.1%
Heidenheim
15.1%
Draw
5.7%
Regensburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Heidenheim

vs
0.57

Regensburg

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
5-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).