Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Union Berlin
31.7%
Draw
30.8%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Union Berlin
vs
0.98
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).