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AHT: 12CSV

27 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.4%
Hearts
14.0%
Draw
5.5%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

Hearts

vs
0.70

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).