Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.9%
Juventus
11.1%
Draw
5.1%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Juventus
vs
0.57
Monza
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
5.1%
0-0
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).