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30 Dec 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.0%
Norwich
23.1%
Draw
15.0%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Norwich

vs
0.83

Reading

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).