Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Rio Ave
30.9%
Draw
47.6%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Rio Ave
vs
1.29
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).