Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
West Ham
26.0%
Draw
47.1%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
West Ham
vs
1.79
Man United
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).