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25 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.2%
Sheffield United
16.4%
Draw
73.4%
Bournemouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Sheffield United

vs
2.79

Bournemouth

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
1-4
5.7%
0-4
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
1-5
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).