Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Caen
25.3%
Draw
43.9%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Caen
vs
1.33
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).