Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Chievo
31.2%
Draw
39.5%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Chievo
vs
1.22
Lecce
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).