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19 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Halifax
29.0%
Draw
51.1%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Halifax

vs
1.44

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).