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16 Jul 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.8%
Brann
10.9%
Draw
7.3%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

3.29

Brann

vs
0.96

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
6.7%
1-0
4.8%
5-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).