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HHT: 10CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Ajaccio
25.1%
Draw
45.0%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Ajaccio

vs
1.36

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).