Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Motherwell
22.6%
Draw
11.2%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Motherwell
vs
0.62
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).