Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.5%
Porto
16.6%
Draw
6.0%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Porto
vs
0.37
Aves
Markets
BTTS26.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.6%
1-0
18.5%
3-0
12.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
7.0%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
3.6%
5-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).