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13 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Metz
17.2%
Draw
17.3%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Metz

vs
1.12

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).