Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Eibar
37.8%
Draw
29.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Eibar
vs
0.67
Alaves
Markets
BTTS25.5%
Over 0.575.8%
Over 1.541.1%
Over 2.516.9%
Over 3.55.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.2%
1-0
18.2%
0-1
16.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
1.6%
2-2
1.5%
0-3
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).