Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
RB Leipzig
25.6%
Draw
38.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
RB Leipzig
vs
1.56
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).