Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Farense
28.8%
Draw
37.3%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Farense
vs
1.08
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).