⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 00CSV

15 Feb 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
41.3%
Dunkerque
25.2%
Draw
33.5%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Dunkerque

vs
1.14

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).