Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Rotherham
27.2%
Draw
53.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Rotherham
vs
1.58
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).