Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Granada
24.3%
Draw
32.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Granada
vs
1.34
Castellon
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).