Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Fulham
18.8%
Draw
8.5%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Fulham
vs
0.71
Leicester
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).