Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Colchester
23.8%
Draw
17.6%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Colchester
vs
0.75
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).