Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Northampton
34.7%
Draw
28.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Northampton
vs
0.71
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS28.6%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.545.7%
Over 2.520.6%
Over 3.57.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.5%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).