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AHT: 01

20 Feb 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Piast Gliwice
27.1%
Draw
26.1%
Motor Lublin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.13

Motor Lublin

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).