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05 Dec 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.1%
Salford
13.0%
Draw
7.9%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

2.75

Salford

vs
0.76

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
5-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).