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AHT: 01

30 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Obolon'
27.7%
Draw
52.0%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Obolon'

vs
1.44

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.1%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).