Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Valladolid
24.1%
Draw
57.9%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Valladolid
vs
1.76
Valencia
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).