Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Sociedad
19.8%
Draw
18.6%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Sociedad
vs
1.18
Almeria
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).