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09 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.4%
Sheffield United
15.5%
Draw
75.1%
Brentford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Sheffield United

vs
2.90

Brentford

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
6.7%
1-4
6.0%
0-4
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-5
3.5%
0-5
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).