Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Pisa
27.8%
Draw
51.4%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Pisa
vs
1.35
Lazio
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).