Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.2%
Istanbulspor
7.9%
Draw
90.9%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Istanbulspor
vs
3.45
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
14.3%
0-2
12.5%
0-4
12.4%
0-5
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
1-2
5.2%
1-4
5.1%
1-1
3.8%
1-5
3.6%
0-0
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).