Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Preston
29.5%
Draw
33.9%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Preston
vs
1.17
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).