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AHT: 03CSV

06 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Greuther Furth
24.1%
Draw
57.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Greuther Furth

vs
1.90

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).