Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Oviedo
21.8%
Draw
14.1%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Oviedo
vs
0.72
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).