Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Harrogate
21.0%
Draw
65.0%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Harrogate
vs
1.84
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).