Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Las Palmas
24.3%
Draw
13.1%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Las Palmas
vs
0.57
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).