Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
St Johnstone
24.6%
Draw
12.9%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
St Johnstone
vs
0.78
Morton
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).