Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Ross County
29.7%
Draw
34.1%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ross County
vs
1.15
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).