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15 Jan 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Chievo
29.0%
Draw
18.5%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Chievo

vs
0.77

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).