Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Zaragoza
33.4%
Draw
37.5%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Zaragoza
vs
0.93
Leganes
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
0-1
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).