Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Lille
18.3%
Draw
13.8%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Lille
vs
0.82
Nimes
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).