Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Pisa
20.6%
Draw
9.3%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Pisa
vs
0.63
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).