Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Dunfermline
34.9%
Draw
21.0%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Dunfermline
vs
0.73
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.1%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
14.8%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).