Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
Nott'm Forest
22.8%
Draw
9.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.64
Southampton
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
10.6%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).