Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Dag and Red
24.8%
Draw
21.9%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Dag and Red
vs
1.09
Dorking
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).