Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Sittingbourne
30.6%
Draw
33.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Sittingbourne
vs
0.95
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-1
14.1%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).