Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Chesterfield
22.7%
Draw
17.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Chesterfield
vs
1.02
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).